October 1, 2026
Part Four: When Energy Security Becomes a Weapon
How America’s diesel gamble exposes the inflationary cost of a less predictable trading system. The proposed…
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September 27, 2026
Sanctions, Oil and the Law of Unintended Consequences
Washington wants to squeeze Russia. It may also squeeze the global consumer - while accelerating the search for…
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September 23, 2026
Stablecoins: Safer than they were. More dangerous than ever.
Nearly a year after I questioned the illusion of stability behind digital dollars, regulation has arrived, reserves…
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September 9, 2026
Part Three: Australia Doesn’t Need a Lower Speed Limit. It Needs a Better Engine
The latest GDP figures do not describe an overheating economy. They describe an economy whose capacity to grow has…
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September 9, 2026
Part Two: The Inflation Central Banks Don’t Fight
When the price of food rises too quickly, we call it inflation. When electricity, insurance, education or restaurant…
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September 8, 2026
Part One: The RBA Is Fighting Today’s Inflation with Yesterday’s Playbook
Australia has an inflation problem. That much is clear. What is far less clear is whether the Reserve Bank is correctly…
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May 9, 2026
Has Listed Equity Alpha Disappeared Or Simply Migrated?
An article in IO&C this week referencing analysis from Justin Tay of JANA Investment Advisers discusses how the nature…
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April 7, 2026
The Next US Tail Risks Part II: How Today’s Macro Risks Have Played Out Before
Today’s fiscal risks are not unprecedented. History provides signals for navigating regime transition.
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February 7, 2026
Long Vol, Tail Risk, or Carry – Pick One.
There is no free insurance. If you want carry and calm, you cannot also expect convex crisis protection.
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October 7, 2025
Digital Dollars: Real Risks: The Stablecoin Illusion of Safety
Stablecoins are marketed as safe digital cash. Under stress, liquidity mismatch and opacity may expose deeper systemic…
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